NFC "Game of the Year"

It pains me to have to say that, but it is obviously true. Throw out the Favre 0-8 record at Texas Stadium, different teams, it's just not relevant. DAL is the better team in this match-up because of a balanced offense, add in home field advantage, and I think we have our winner. Problem is the spread seams very accurate. I managed to get some in early in the week at 6.5, but since that line is not offered now, I am going to suggest you pay for it if you must wager on this game(like I MUST wager on this game)... DAL(-6.5,-120)34 GB 27 [3$].

Monday Night 2nd Half

This weather is ridiculous, but I can't see losing PIT -7, 2H... PIT(-7,2H,EV) over MIA [10$].

Monday Night Reminder

Are you f-ing kidding me on the phantom foul call against Nova with 0.4 secs. left? What is it with Nova getting the shaft against teams from NC(UNC in 2006 tourney, phantom walk call on Allan Ray)? Of course the MIN pick hits when I don't play it. At least NYG got pinned with a loss making the 2nd half NFC WC race interesting, even though whomever gets in sucks anyway... Just a reminder on the PIT pick for tonight... Coming off a loss, home on Monday night, against a rookie QB, after seeing NE struggle last night with a big point spread, and, oh yeah, RICKY WILLIAMS who has not played in the NFL in over 2 years, coming off a week of practice is the starting RB! Do you think MIA wants to lock up the #1 pick in the draft?... PIT(-16) 38 MIA 3 [5$](would put it in for 50$ just to wipe out my deficit, but that is kind of against the rules.

My Weekend... and NFL picks

I went to a wedding Friday night, got a few drinks in me and started betting obscene amounts on every game on the slate, digging a hole that was larger than what I am down for the season. Yesterday, while only putting in a few picks, I got my shovel and got to a 4-digit positive for the week by being on fire. I guess I'm not good at sharing, my apologies for not taking you along for the ride, I was 7-1-1, the push coming in the 1st half of GEO/GT when the GEO kicker missed an XP to cost me the win. That's right, I gave out 2 losers, but only had one on my own, I backed off of KAN, but did capitalize on what wound up being an easy 2nd half over. As a result of a Saturday that felt like a double-shift as a gravedigger, I am taking it easy today, putting in the prevent defense to preserve my good work, and taking a big swing myself... TEN ML/NO ML/JAX ML [3.5$/9.98$]... and one from the heart... PHI +24/Nova -0.5(bought 2.5 points) [3$/6.22$]... just in case I'm really on fire, I'm going to mention that while NYG has good numbers against the run, the only effective running game faced this year is DAL. I keep hearing how this game is a walkover for NYG, but don't be shocked if MIN runs all over NYG today and keeps it close, if not sneaks by for the win. No pick in there though, like I said, I'm in prevent today.

2nd Half

MIA-FL appears to have given up. Ryan will try to boost his lost Heisman hopes... BC -6.5,2H over MIA [5$].

Saturday CFB

VT -4 over UVA [4$]... KAN PK over MIZZ [3$]... So. Car. +3 over CLEM [4$]... more to follow.

Friday Picks

I have always found this to be one of the toughest days of the year to pick CFB games. The games are usually rivalries, and with Thanksgiving cutting in, you just don't know what kind of prep teams were able to put in for the game. Of course, by my record, you can see I have found many days difficult to pick this season, so I'm going to give it a shot anyway... LSU, like an aging boxer, has lost its knockout punch. Earlier in the season, LSU just dismembered opponents, but as the season has progressed, perhaps aware of the ultimate goal, has become a boxer that chooses to not put himself in danger, and try to out-point his opponents. I don't love having to run to attack LSU, it just has not worked much, but ARK runs like no one else, so they should have some success... LSU 28 ARK(+13) 20 [4$]... TAM has given up. I don't even think they like Franchione enough to try one more time for him. TEX has a 10 win season, a major bowl and a legitimate shot at the Big 12 Championship Game if OK stumbles... TEX(-6)49 TAM 14 [5$]... I am withholding judgement on a big game tonight between BSU & HAW. All angles suggest a BSU win to spoil the undefeated HAW season, but a long trip to the islands on a short week over Thanksgiving is a lot to overcome, and BSU could not have possibly done enough prep on a tricky offense to feel good about stopping HAW. I am going to continue to look at this one, but for now it is a pass... CBB... L'ville is truly one of the elite CBB teams right now and appears to be lacking a little respect in Vegas. After drumming UNLV and this Vegas tourney, that should change... L'ville(-6) over BYU [3$].

Turkey Day Picks

Big wiseguy selection that makes sense. DET just lost at home last week, season is on the line today... DET(+3.5)24 GB 21 [4$]... My favorite HOPEFUL pick is DAL 2nd half as they have been amazing in 2nd halves so far, but I can't put that up until I get a line and won't have computer access, so you will have to do it on your own. DAL will score points for sure, the OV is well in reach... DAL45 NYJ17 O47.5 [2$]... IND is the best bet of the week at any line that has ever been put on an NFL game... IND(-12) 41 ATL 0 [5$]... CFB... USC heads into ASU to complete the fall to earth for ASU. Would have happened last week if UCLA wasn't on its 6th string QB. His name is Oscar Rasshan and an insider told me he will also be the villain in this upcoming season of 24... USC(-3) 33 ASU 23 [3$].