12/09/2007
12/03/2007
Monday Night
NE moved down to -19 due to windy conditions, but I successfully QB'd my touch football team yesterday to a league championship through a windy, wintry mix, so I think Brady will manage against a pretty exploitable pass D. You can hold out for the line to continue to move, but anything short of getting to -17 is not likely to be helpful, but -20 is close and perilous... NE(-19)38 BAL 10 [5$].
12/02/2007
12/01/2007
CFB Championship Saturday
Historically one of the most unpredictable weekends of the season as some team gets inspired and steals glory from a team we all thought was a lock... Problem is, no team is a lock, I would even challenge you to say any team is significantly better than any other, outside of LSU/TENN(LSU just might be overrated and I don't know what to make of Perrilloux instead of Flynn. I'm going to avoid this one, I hope this is the "upset")... MAC Championships always seem to be hotly contested. After stumbling out of the gate, M-OH picked it up and had more competitive showings out of conference. Maybe I just don't want to root against my wife's alma mater in front of her... M-OH(+3)34 CMU 31 [5$]... ACC game has revenge written all over it and since BC has lost its undefeated mojo, revenge will be had by the better team... VT(-4.5)31 BC 14 [5$]... A lot of talk about USC being the best team in the country again, and I'm not buying it. This is a throw out the records battle, expect UCLA to compete... USC 27 UCLA(+19.5)19 [5$]... ASU seems to think they have something to play for. AZ, despite what you saw on ESPN vs ORE is not that good and cannot score with ASU... ASU(-7)38 AZ 20 [5$]... And the big one. We all know turnovers are the great equalizer, and MIZZ victimized itself with 4 last time. OK falls in the category of teams that lost mojo after losing as well, and TTU really put it on them a couple of weeks ago. I will take the experience of Chase Daniel over the promise of Sam Bradford as well. As always, the BCS dodges the final bullet and gets to claim the right teams are in the Championship Game and we go another off-season without any real discussion for a playoff... MIZZ(+3)34 OK 23 [5$]... Late night, the final piece falls in place as Ty Willingham becomes the savior for the BCA & BCS all in one motion... Wash(+13.5)33 HAW 30 [5$].
11/29/2007
NFC "Game of the Year"
It pains me to have to say that, but it is obviously true. Throw out the Favre 0-8 record at Texas Stadium, different teams, it's just not relevant. DAL is the better team in this match-up because of a balanced offense, add in home field advantage, and I think we have our winner. Problem is the spread seams very accurate. I managed to get some in early in the week at 6.5, but since that line is not offered now, I am going to suggest you pay for it if you must wager on this game(like I MUST wager on this game)... DAL(-6.5,-120)34 GB 27 [3$].
11/26/2007
Monday Night 2nd Half
This weather is ridiculous, but I can't see losing PIT -7, 2H... PIT(-7,2H,EV) over MIA [10$].
Monday Night Reminder
Are you f-ing kidding me on the phantom foul call against Nova with 0.4 secs. left? What is it with Nova getting the shaft against teams from NC(UNC in 2006 tourney, phantom walk call on Allan Ray)? Of course the MIN pick hits when I don't play it. At least NYG got pinned with a loss making the 2nd half NFC WC race interesting, even though whomever gets in sucks anyway... Just a reminder on the PIT pick for tonight... Coming off a loss, home on Monday night, against a rookie QB, after seeing NE struggle last night with a big point spread, and, oh yeah, RICKY WILLIAMS who has not played in the NFL in over 2 years, coming off a week of practice is the starting RB! Do you think MIA wants to lock up the #1 pick in the draft?... PIT(-16) 38 MIA 3 [5$](would put it in for 50$ just to wipe out my deficit, but that is kind of against the rules.
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