Early Week CFB Pick

On occasion, when I see a line I feel will move against me, I will put up an early post. Thursday night, LSU visits Miss St., and as often happens with heavy favorites, I expect to see the line move up from the 17.5 line one book I use has(I am already seeing 18.5 in some places). Two seasons ago, Matt Flynn battled JaMarcus Russell preseason for the starting job and by many accounts outplayed Russell, but lost out to the more physically gifted player. Flynn had his opportunity in the Peach Bowl that year and totally shredded Miami-FL in a 40-3 win. Flynn finally gets his shot to be the man on a very experienced team that just re-loads when it loses starters anyway. Ironically, Flynn is probably the reason why the line is less than 3 TDs. LSU will be competing for a national title this season, has a ton of trends in its favor, a flair for the spotlight(ESPN game to show off) and a coach who seems to enjoy lighting up the scoreboard, regardless of the opponent. Miss St. does not protect its home field at all and has a QB who does not value the football. Expect a rout, 2 Star Selection, get it in early as this line could push 3 TDs by kickoff. LSU(-17.5) 45-3. More Thursday picks coming later in the week.