11/08/2007
Thursday Night
So L'ville is going to WVU and is in the press talking about how much they want to win... I didn't really expect that since L'ville appears to have mailed it in. I'm going to be cautious and say that they will stick around in the game, at least early. The angle in this game, I believe, is the O/U, because 65 O/Us are reserved for teams that each score in the 30s, and there is only one team in this game that does that. Perhaps by design, L'ville has scored 24, 17 & 28 in their trailing 3 games, probably to protect a pretty shoddy defense. WVU has held up its end of the bargain by scoring a ton of points, but have mixed in a defense that has not allowed over 24 points this season and is on a stretch of allowing 3, 13, 14, 21, 7 & 14 in their trailing 6 games. If L'ville is able to keep it competitive, the score will be lower than expected. The ideal scenario has a tight game in the 1st half allowing us to circle back for WVU in the 2nd half as we have many times this season. WVU 34 L'ville 21 (U65)[3$].
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