11/19/2007

Worst week ever!

Between Saturday and Sunday, I went 2-12 on posted picks. I felt like John Anthony in Two for the Money when he got cold. Fortunately, no one is taking my advice, therefore, I don't have to worry about anyone taking a piss in my face. It got to the point where, even when I had computer access, I didn't post additional picks that I was making. So what happened?... Of course I went on a tear and had a profit for the week in the low 4-figure range in my "personal account". Un-posted picks included some college hoops(more on that later), an obvious Eagles 2nd half pick(after 3 first half INTs and arguably a QB upgrade when McNabb went down) and a Pats over parlay(I don't recommend parlays, but I was feeling it on this "no post and win" wave I was on). A couple of years ago, I swore off of being superstitious when I accidentally broke a mirror, then decided to break 2 more to I made it so overwhelming, I would have to kill myself or give up on being superstitious... I chose the latter. I am here to report no noticeable changes in luck after the mirrors, but a liberating feeling you can only get from things like a divorce and the witness protection program. Point of telling the story, I know not posting had no impact on my success, but I was motivated to inaction, in this case not posting because it was easier that way. I make a great argument against organized religion in this vein if you ever want to hear it... Onto tonight's game, TEN @ DEN... TEN is confident and finding ways to win, DEN is a little unsure and losing many more than it wins after starting the season as a team that was finding ways to win. Talent is close to even, but TEN has an outstanding defense while DEN has a lot of exploitable holes. Jeff Fisher and Norm Chow possess the unique ability in coaching circles of checking their egos and just doing what will put them in the best position to win. In this case, that's run the ball, then run it some more, which is what TEN likes to do anyway. Furthermore, DEN has proven susceptible to the QB run versus the more mobile QBs faced(Garrard, Big Ben and Losman all were effective with scrambles). VY is much more capable than the names on that list and it is in the gameplan to run him. Add in VY fits the profile of a Monday Night spotlight star, and I think we have a decision... TEN(EV)23 DEN 14 [4$](keep your +1, I'll take even money on the loss here... Now for that "back to CBB", I obviously love college hoops as a Nova guy, and think I actually do better historically betting CBB, but I am not ready to commit to posting frequently this season, but I will put up some picks when motivated starting tonight... I, like most hetero males that did not attend Duke, HATE DUKE! Tonight they face a bad Princeton team that is +22, believe it or not, due to name recognition. Duke loves rolling it up on teams and will do so tonight... DUKE(-22) over Princeton [3$].

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