11/16/2007
Weekend Selections
Tough one last night on ORE, if you watched the game, ORE was dominant on offense with Dixon in, with Leaf, not so much... CFB... Once over-achieving teams get the 1st chink in their armour, they typically begin to reel(see So. Fl., BC, UK to name a few). I would say this especially applies to a team that has been outgained in it's last 5 games(winning the 1st 4) by an average of over 100 yards. UCONN 27 CUSE(+19) 20 [2$]... WVU OWNS CIN and is smelling an opportunity to win a championship. Too much offense and defense from WVU... WVU(-6.5)38 CIN 17 [3$]... A trap game if there ever was one, ISU can score enough to bring a huge spread into play... KU 41 ISU(+26.5) 24 [2$]... An elite team that had it and lost is much more dangerous and thorough than one that never had it... LSU(-19.5)40 Miss 0 [3$]... Mich saw the big picture last week and rested some stars and took a loss in the process, knowing this week was the big one. OSU applies to the overachiever statement above... MICH(+4) 34 OSU 28 [2$]... What would this line be if BC were still undefeated? BC has seen its mortality, but also plays solid against the run which comprises the CLEM O... BC(+8)24 CLEM 23 [3$]... NFL... SD looked really bad in a win Sunday night, but JAX has been shaky and turns to a rusty Garrard at QB... SD(+3)27 JAX 21 [2$]... PIT has stepped it up to put themselves amongst the elite in the NFL while NYJ has many holes...PIT(-9.5)34 NYJ 13 [2$]... Only one opportunity this week to get an AFC team at home against a bad NFC team. AZ will call it a victory if they find the stadium... CIN(-3)34 AZ 13 [2$]... Sucking in the 2nd half of the season is a difficult trend to prove, but NYG have done their best the past few seasons. More importantly, DET is a different team at home(4-0, 3-0-1 ATS) and should not get points from a team in the same class... DET(+2.5)24 NYG 20 [3$]... I'm sorry, I'm back to this. Feel free to ignore this pick, but Jim Johnson versus a rookie QB is a mismatch and I dread to say, PHI still has some life left... PHI(-10)51 MIA 3 [3$]... Teams heading in different directions, STL has its stars back in the line-up, SF has Dilfer back under center. Try to convince me SF is not the worst team in the NFL right now... STL(-3)30 SF 10 [2$]... As always, upsizes and 2nd half plays are possible and likely.
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