Weekend Selections

I know I promised a new strategy, but after deeper research, I chose not to go in that direction. The strategy involved using IF bets to lever up our wagers on plays I felt stronger about and to minimize losses on picks I didn't like as much, but I don't think we're there yet. I think I have a strong set of picks this weekend, and I'm just going to be conventional... CFB... Experience versus youth in what the media is touting as a heavyweight battle, but there is really only one heavyweight in the game, the other team WAS very good last year. Expect Tebow to blow a gasket in Death Valley and get knocked around a bit. LSU (-7)27 FL 10 [2$]... UGA are great road warriors and they are going up against a Tenn team that really is not that good. Tough SEC battle nonetheless, but the better team prevails UGA(-1) 24 TENN 16 [2$]... ASU really does not have the right to give more than a TD to anyone but Stan in the PAC 10, yet they are on the road, giving 8.5 against a WSU team that can score points WSU (+8.5) 33 ASU 30 [2$]... Red River Shootout has lost a lot of its luster, important thing to note is this is an intense rivalry. OK is probably a bit overrated, Tex was about right, but can definitely hang with anyone. OK 27 Tex(+12.5) 24 [1$]...MIA-FL has had a re-birth with the re-insertion of Kyle Wright into the line-up, NC has shown an ability to lose to anyone, anywhere MIA(-7) 27 NC 10 [1$]...MD is coming off a high where its backup QB led the way, yet the plan is to still go with the original starter. Even if he can't go, it's no matter, GT is a solid defensive unit and will stifle either QB GT(-3) 19 MD 9 [1$]... Duke has covered 4 straight since I put my neck out on them in the 1st game, but is still mostly Duke. A well coached WF team will not give easy opportunities and will take advantage of the long layoff. WF(-7) 27 Duke 13 [1$]... all of the top 10 teams were put on watch last week and that will work to the advantage of USF. USF will be easy to motivate knowing they were FL-Atl just a few years ago and don't ever want to be again. No let down here USF(-17) 41 FL-Atl 14 [1$]... NFL... JAX hasn't performed well off byes in the Del Rio era, but is by far the better team here and is motivated by lack of post-bye week success. KC comes off a high over SD and will not be as effective on offense against JAX. May upsize as this is my best bet of the weekend. JAX(-1) 24 KC 13 [2$]... NYG not that good, NYJ not that bad, NFC really bad, AFC very good. NYJ(+4) 23 NYG 20[2$]... Rules of engagement state you should always go against teams that have 4 straight covers because the lines are skewed somewhere in the 4-6 point neighborhood. This goes against what I said earlier in the week to always take NE, but I will believe the time tested trends over my own nonsense most times. WF was a pick like this above, 3 NFL picks apply here CHI(+4) 24 GB 17 [2$]... NE 31 CLE(+16) 21 [1$]... STL(+4) 9 AZ 7 (1$).