NFL---ACT IMMEDIATELY!!!

I had some time to do enough preliminary analysis on these 2 games that I believe I would be doing readers a disservice by not getting these out before lines moved. PHIL has GBs number in the Andy Reid era, using his knowledge of Brett Favre to hold the Pack to 17 points or less in each of the last 6 games. The only explanation I can come up with for the -3(EV) line is a romantic belief in Favre and the Packers at home. Please check some of the trends on this ( Packers are 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20 games on Grass, 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 home games), coupled with (Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and Reid is one of the best in the league[along w/ DC Jim Johnson] with time to prepare) and you have the makings of a one-sided affair. Johnson feasts on erratic QBs, and that assessment of Favre these days is going easy on him. Bring Donovan McNabb's chip on his shoulder into the mix and his well documented ability to dominate when the chips are NOT down, and this line reeks of mis-priced by several points. PHIL(-3 EV) 31 GB 13 [3$] ... For the second game, I just plain feel insulted. Trying to think like the bookmakers is difficult in this one. Are they truly giving Ben Roethlisberger's '06 a full weighting and thinking he is bound to turn the ball over at a similar rate? If anything, expect the inverse. Do they truly believe a veteran team loses its way when its coach retires? PITT is 6-0-1 in the last 7 versus CLE, with the push coming last year when Big Ben threw 3 INTs and still won 24-20 in CLE. PITT (-4.5) 37 CLE 10 [3$].