9/05/2007
Rutgers over Navy
The line opened @ -12.5 and quickly raced to -17, even showing @ -19 @ one major book. I usually don't like to chase a number up, especially not this much, but this line maker appears to have made a mistake. Navy leads the nation in rushing year after year, but against a relatively soft schedule. I'm not drinking the NJ Kool-Aid, quite the contrary, I'm pretty negative on Rutgers relative to most, but this is a good team. The offense is balanced enough, but if need be, they can just ride Ray Rice all day against Navy and win big (Navy returns only 3 defensive starters and just gave up 19 points to lowly Temple). Rutgers is very strong on D as well, and while Navy usually confuses opponents, Rutgers held them to just over 2 ypc last season(Navy starting QB did get injured in 1st half). I expect Rutgers to take an early lead at home, then it's all over since Navy can't pass it's way back into the game. RU (-16) 38 Navy 10 [1$]
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